2025-26 NBA Award Races

Daily simulation-based probabilities for the major NBA awards, updated throughout the season.

MVP Race

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Favorite

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

Also in the Race

Jokić

9%

Victor Wembanyama

Wembanyama

4%

Dončić

2%

Rookie of the Year Race

Favorite

Cooper Flagg

DAL

Also in the Race

Edgecombe

11%

Knueppel

1%

All-NBA Probability

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

>99%

Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

>99%

Jaylen Brown

99%

Tyrese Maxey

98%

Jalen Johnson

98%

Hall of Fame Probability

2025-26 Biggest Risers

Jamal Murray

74%

+46 pts

Cooper Flagg

58%

+44 pts

Jalen Johnson

53%

+33 pts

Tyrese Maxey

75%

+24 pts

Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr.

27%

+23 pts