Methodology

Hoops Forecast combines player-level modeling, simulation outputs, and current-season data to estimate player projections, award odds, and projected stat leaders.

The outputs on the site are designed to work together: player pages show the individual projections and visuals, award pages surface probability races, and leader pages compare the current leaderboard to the projected finish.

This page is the foundation for understanding the product, and it will continue to expand as we document more of the modeling choices and validation work.